“The best books … are those that tell you what you know already”, wrote George Orwell in 1984. While, pace the likes of Henry Porter, our country isn’t Orwellian, there is a lot of truth in this line. And so it was when I read Martin Wolf on Iceland last week. He powerfully and intelligently argues for that which I have always instinctively felt about events there.
The British and Dutch governments are seeking agreement with the Icelandic government for the repayment of debts, which now amount to 50% of Icelandic GDP, owed to British and Dutch savers in now collapsed Icelandic banks. If we attempt to see things from the Icelandic perspective, this observation from Wolf is particularly striking: “In the UK context, this would be equivalent to a demand for £700bn. It is not hard to imagine how far Mr Brown would get with a suggestion that the UK should accept such a debt to refund depositors in foreign branches of bankrupt UK banks.”
We most probably do not have to fear the rise of Nazism in Iceland, (though, Icelanders do have unnecessary misery and Brits needlessly lost goodwill to fear), but Wolf’s analysis seems as persuasive and prescient as J. M. Keynes’ The Economic Consequences of the Peace proved to be on the Versailles Conference.
“Do Iceland’s taxpayers have a moral obligation to pay this loan? My view is: no. The delusion that finance was the path to riches was propounded by countries that should have known far better. I cannot blame Icelanders for succumbing. I certainly do not want generations of Icelanders to bear the cost.”
Iceland has many things going for it. However, not so many, that more measured approaches from the British and Dutch governments could not considerably improve the prospects of Icelanders for many years to come.
“The final and, in truth, most important question is whether these demands are reasonable. After all, in every civilised country it has long been accepted that there is a limit to the pursuit of any debts. That is why we have introduced limited liability and abolished debtors’ prisons. Asking a people to transfer as much as 50 per cent of GDP, plus interest, via a sustained current account surplus is extraordinarily onerous.”
Not only is it extraordinarily onerous but it is only justified if we accept that several generations or more of Icelanders should pay the full price for the follies of a small Icelandic elite. What would the likes of the Labour Party argue in similar circumstances in the UK? Surely, we’d argue in favour of the many and not the few? So, why should we think any differently about an event in Iceland?
Let’s take a deep breath, step back and extend a modicum of decency to a fundamentally decent people, who, incidentally, were amongst the first to get aid to Haiti this week. If Icelanders can do the right thing by Haiti, Brits can do the right thing by Iceland.
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